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Red124
98024.0
265949.8
351251.2
Blue120
876838.8
366941.4
641734.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351206080100160180200124120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3512
#10
51.20.0
51.051.0
Auto11.3
Teleop31.3
End8.6
red by 9.8
3669
#11
41.40.1
41.541.4
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End7.7
Second
49.80.0
49.649.6
Auto13.0
Teleop30.1
End6.5
red by 11.1
8768
#14
38.80.1
38.938.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.9
End7.5
Third
980
#18
24.00.0
24.124.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.7
End6.0
blue by 9.9
6417
#17
34.00.1
34.134.0
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End6.2