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Red128
207346.5
98024.0
374932.3
Blue117
512430.9
119720.4
351251.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95103406080120140160180128117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.52.5
41.644.1
Auto14.8
Teleop24.3
End7.4
blue by 4.7
3512
#10
51.21.4
48.850.3
Auto11.3
Teleop31.3
End8.6
Second
3749
#15
32.32.5
27.429.9
Auto7.7
Teleop18.1
End6.4
red by 1.4
5124
#21
30.91.4
27.528.9
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.8
Third
980
#18
24.02.5
21.524.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.7
End6.0
red by 3.6
1197
#20
20.41.4
19.320.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned