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Red58
606019.4
240415.7
641734.0
Blue103
469839.9
888832.2
501215.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778420406010012014058103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6417
#17
34.01.3
33.832.4
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End6.2
blue by 5.9
39.90.7
36.937.6
Auto9.2
Teleop23.3
End7.4
Second
6060
#27
19.41.3
19.318.0
Auto8.4
Teleop6.1
End4.9
blue by 12.8
8888
#12
32.20.8
28.629.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.1
End8.6
Third
2404
#23
15.71.6
20.018.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End3.6
red by 0.4
5012
#30
15.30.7
12.613.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned