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Red116
347655.8
265949.8
119720.4
Blue179
586915.9
715764.2
441465.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13215150100200116179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.80.7
57.356.7
Auto15.2
Teleop32.6
End7.9
blue by 9.6
65.41.2
62.864.0
Auto13.0
Teleop43.7
End8.5
Second
49.80.7
50.249.5
Auto13.0
Teleop30.1
End6.5
blue by 14.4
64.21.2
61.662.7
Auto12.7
Teleop42.9
End8.4
Third
1197
#20
20.40.7
20.820.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End6.7
red by 4.5
5869
#31
15.91.2
14.715.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsMissed95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned