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Red163
704227.6
715764.2
441465.4
Blue100
441938.1
374932.3
501215.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17775050100150200250163100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.40.0
64.064.0
Auto13.0
Teleop43.7
End8.5
red by 27.3
4419
#19
38.10.3
37.337.6
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End8.9
Second
64.20.0
62.762.8
Auto12.7
Teleop42.9
End8.4
red by 31.9
3749
#15
32.30.3
31.531.8
Auto7.7
Teleop18.1
End6.4
Third
7042
#28
27.60.0
26.126.1
Auto11.8
Teleop8.8
End7.0
red by 12.3
5012
#30
15.30.3
14.614.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End4.5