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Red155
119720.4
265949.8
351251.2
Blue141
469839.9
68750.6
39925.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129122050100150200250155141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3512
#10
51.20.3
50.951.2
Auto11.3
Teleop31.3
End8.6
red by 0.6
687
#9
50.60.6
50.551.1
Auto9.9
Teleop33.0
End7.7
Second
49.80.3
49.549.8
Auto13.0
Teleop30.1
End6.5
red by 9.9
39.90.6
39.840.4
Auto9.2
Teleop23.3
End7.4
Third
1197
#20
20.40.3
20.120.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End6.7
blue by 4.9
399
#26
25.30.6
25.225.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.1
End4.1