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Qual 162023 Battle at the Border
Red142
325551.7
997515.7
997121.5
Blue76
265812.4
254334.3
312835.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4486010015014276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#5
51.72.9
48.5→51.4
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End2.4
red by 16.2
3128
#24
35.40.4
34.1→33.7
Auto7.5
Teleop26.4
End1.7
Second
9971
#26
21.54.9
11.3→16.1
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End-1.3
blue by 12.8
2543
#9
34.30.4
27.5→27.1
Auto9.8
Teleop24.2
End0.1
Third
9975
#29
15.74.9
9.4→14.3
Auto3.3
Teleop13.2
End-0.7
red by 3.3
2658
#32
12.40.4
20.4→20.0
Auto2.4
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed