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Red126
513726.1
927122.9
473861.2
Blue70
248537.4
283940.4
99729.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9390708010011012012670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#10
61.21.4
57.358.7
Auto11.7
Teleop50.7
End-1.8
red by 20.8
2839
#12
40.41.5
40.539.0
Auto8.7
Teleop28.9
End2.6
Second
26.11.4
19.821.3
Auto6.6
Teleop18.7
End0.9
blue by 11.3
2485
#25
37.41.5
40.739.2
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End2.5
Third
9271
#20
22.91.4
22.223.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
red by 13.0
9972
#31
9.92.4
10.78.3
Auto1.6
Teleop9.6
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned