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Red64
927122.9
997818.1
312835.4
Blue129
325551.7
997330.1
699543.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56114010015020025064129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#24
35.41.5
33.732.2
Auto7.5
Teleop26.4
End1.7
blue by 16.2
51.70.7
51.452.2
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End2.4
Second
9271
#20
22.91.5
23.622.1
Auto5.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
blue by 20.6
6995
#14
43.50.7
45.045.7
Auto9.8
Teleop31.5
End1.5
Third
9978
#13
18.12.6
14.712.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End-0.6
blue by 12.0
9973
#15
30.11.2
16.617.8
Auto4.2
Teleop27.6
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsEarned