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Red60
283940.4
997723.1
265812.4
Blue127
997018.9
473861.2
374933.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658605015020025030060127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2839
#12
40.41.1
39.037.9
Auto8.7
Teleop28.9
End2.6
blue by 20.8
4738
#10
61.21.0
58.759.8
Auto11.7
Teleop50.7
End-1.8
Second
9977
#22
23.11.9
18.016.2
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End-1.2
blue by 10.9
3749
#19
33.91.0
31.232.2
Auto7.1
Teleop25.1
End1.5
Third
2658
#32
12.41.1
20.018.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.7
End1.2
blue by 6.5
9970
#30
18.91.7
16.518.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsEarned