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Qual 212023 Battle at the Border
Red79
688510.7
502519.2
364749.8
Blue81
254334.3
513726.1
162236.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61880501001507981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#4
49.80.1
46.1→46.2
Auto12.7
Teleop37.2
End-1.3
red by 13.0
1622
#8
36.70.8
39.4→38.7
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End0.2
Second
5025
#34
19.20.1
21.9→22.0
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End1.7
blue by 15.1
2543
#9
34.30.8
27.1→26.3
Auto9.8
Teleop24.2
End0.1
Third
6885
#28
10.70.1
9.4→9.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End-1.6
blue by 15.4
5137
#6
26.10.8
21.3→20.5
Auto6.6
Teleop18.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsMissed