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Qual 222023 Battle at the Border
Red46
210231.1
99729.9
298415.0
Blue115
656051.5
997121.5
416021.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378505010015020046115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#17
31.10.9
29.5→28.6
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End1.3
blue by 20.4
6560
#7
51.51.4
49.8→51.2
Auto11.7
Teleop38.6
End1.0
Second
2984
#35
15.00.9
16.4→15.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End-0.2
blue by 6.5
9971
#26
21.52.3
16.1→18.4
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End-1.3
Third
9972
#31
9.91.5
8.3→6.8
Auto1.6
Teleop9.6
End-1.1
blue by 11.5
4160
#33
21.31.4
28.1→29.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsMissed