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Qual 232023 Battle at the Border
Red106
157227.6
997415.1
153866.6
Blue101
126634.0
547428.1
248537.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8882506070100110106101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#3
66.60.3
62.9→62.6
Auto11.5
Teleop56.4
End-1.6
red by 29.2
2485
#25
37.40.7
39.2→40.0
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End2.5
Second
1572
#18
27.60.3
33.5→33.3
Auto5.8
Teleop20.1
End1.7
blue by 6.4
1266
#11
34.00.7
27.0→27.8
Auto5.4
Teleop26.5
End2.2
Third
9974
#27
15.10.4
13.5→13.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.8
End-0.6
blue by 13.0
5474
#21
28.10.7
23.5→24.3
Auto7.5
Teleop19.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned