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Qual 252023 Battle at the Border
Red118
513726.1
997818.1
325551.7
Blue47
374933.9
298415.0
157227.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81805060709010011011847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#5
51.71.9
52.2→54.0
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End2.4
red by 17.7
3749
#19
33.92.3
32.2→29.9
Auto7.1
Teleop25.1
End1.5
Second
5137
#6
26.11.9
20.5→22.4
Auto6.6
Teleop18.7
End0.9
blue by 1.5
1572
#18
27.62.3
33.3→31.0
Auto5.8
Teleop20.1
End1.7
Third
9978
#13
18.13.1
12.1→15.3
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End-0.6
red by 3.1
2984
#35
15.02.3
15.5→13.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsMissed