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Qual 262023 Battle at the Border
Red137
248537.4
153866.6
265812.4
Blue146
997330.1
441955.9
210231.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11174050100150200137146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#3
66.60.7
62.6→63.3
Auto11.5
Teleop56.4
End-1.6
red by 10.8
4419
#1
55.93.2
46.0→49.2
Auto10.6
Teleop43.8
End1.7
Second
2485
#25
37.40.7
40.0→40.7
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End2.5
red by 6.3
2102
#17
31.13.2
28.6→31.9
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End1.3
Third
2658
#32
12.40.7
18.8→19.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.7
End1.2
blue by 17.8
9973
#15
30.15.4
17.8→23.2
Auto4.2
Teleop27.6
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned