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Qual 322023 Battle at the Border
Red145
997415.1
656051.5
441955.9
Blue139
312835.4
513726.1
699543.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949390100110120130145139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4419
#1
55.92.5
49.2→51.8
Auto10.6
Teleop43.8
End1.7
red by 12.4
6995
#14
43.51.5
42.0→43.5
Auto9.8
Teleop31.5
End1.5
Second
6560
#7
51.52.5
50.8→53.4
Auto11.7
Teleop38.6
End1.0
red by 16.0
3128
#24
35.41.5
32.4→33.9
Auto7.5
Teleop26.4
End1.7
Third
9974
#27
15.14.2
6.9→11.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.8
End-0.6
blue by 11.0
5137
#6
26.11.5
22.4→23.8
Auto6.6
Teleop18.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsEarned