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Red154
126634.0
945220.1
519969.4
Blue95
265812.4
162236.7
416021.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89826010012014015495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.42.4
64.566.9
Auto8.9
Teleop61.7
End-1.8
red by 32.6
36.71.9
39.537.7
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End0.2
Second
1266
#11
34.02.4
28.731.1
Auto5.4
Teleop26.5
End2.2
red by 12.6
4160
#33
21.31.9
29.727.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Third
9452
#16
20.14.0
12.416.4
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End-1.3
red by 7.7
2658
#32
12.41.9
19.517.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed