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Red111
997330.1
374933.9
997415.1
Blue115
254334.3
99729.9
945220.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48350100150200250300350111115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3749
#19
33.92.2
30.933.1
Auto7.1
Teleop25.1
End1.5
blue by 0.3
34.31.7
27.729.4
Auto9.8
Teleop24.2
End0.1
Second
9973
#15
30.13.6
26.430.0
Auto4.2
Teleop27.6
End-1.4
red by 10.1
9452
#16
20.12.9
16.419.3
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End-1.3
Third
9974
#27
15.13.6
11.114.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.8
End-0.6
red by 5.2
9972
#31
9.92.9
9.112.0
Auto1.6
Teleop9.6
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsEarned