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Qual 402023 Battle at the Border
Red149
298415.0
283940.4
153866.6
Blue136
688510.7
519969.4
699543.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031028090110120130140149136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#3
66.60.5
66.2→66.6
Auto11.5
Teleop56.4
End-1.6
blue by 2.8
5199
#2
69.40.9
66.9→67.8
Auto8.9
Teleop61.7
End-1.8
Second
2839
#12
40.40.5
40.3→40.8
Auto8.7
Teleop28.9
End2.6
blue by 3.1
6995
#14
43.50.9
43.5→44.4
Auto9.8
Teleop31.5
End1.5
Third
2984
#35
15.00.5
13.7→14.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End-0.2
red by 4.3
6885
#28
10.70.9
12.4→13.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End-1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsMissed