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Red104
502519.2
656051.5
248537.4
Blue25
265812.4
997610.6
325551.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1186405010015020025010425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.51.1
53.452.2
Auto11.7
Teleop38.6
End1.0
blue by 0.2
51.74.9
56.751.7
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End2.4
Second
2485
#25
37.41.1
41.640.5
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End2.5
red by 25.0
2658
#32
12.44.9
17.712.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Third
5025
#34
19.21.1
21.019.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End1.7
red by 8.6
9976
#23
10.68.2
14.56.3
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End-1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsMissed