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Red79
513726.1
688510.7
248537.4
Blue66
699543.5
945220.1
416021.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64820501001502007966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#25
37.40.2
38.638.4
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End2.5
blue by 6.1
6995
#14
43.52.2
45.142.9
Auto9.8
Teleop31.5
End1.5
Second
26.10.2
27.327.1
Auto6.6
Teleop18.7
End0.9
red by 4.8
4160
#33
21.32.2
26.224.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Third
6885
#28
10.70.2
10.910.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End-1.6
blue by 9.4
9452
#16
20.12.9
22.319.4
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed