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Red105
283940.4
656051.5
997610.6
Blue97
997121.5
126634.0
997330.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9640015020025010597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.50.2
50.850.9
Auto11.7
Teleop38.6
End1.0
red by 17.5
1266
#11
34.00.3
33.533.9
Auto5.4
Teleop26.5
End2.2
Second
2839
#12
40.40.2
41.241.4
Auto8.7
Teleop28.9
End2.6
red by 10.2
9973
#15
30.10.4
28.328.7
Auto4.2
Teleop27.6
End-1.4
Third
9976
#23
10.60.2
10.310.6
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End-1.6
blue by 10.9
9971
#26
21.50.4
20.420.8
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsMissed