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Red144
325551.7
254334.3
473861.2
Blue160
441955.9
927122.9
519969.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123113050100150200144160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#10
61.20.1
59.159.2
Auto11.7
Teleop50.7
End-1.8
blue by 8.2
69.41.3
67.368.6
Auto8.9
Teleop61.7
End-1.8
Second
51.70.1
52.452.4
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End2.4
blue by 4.2
55.91.3
52.553.8
Auto10.6
Teleop43.8
End1.7
Third
34.30.1
33.033.1
Auto9.8
Teleop24.2
End0.1
red by 11.4
9271
#20
22.91.3
20.621.9
Auto5.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned