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Red157
997018.9
473861.2
441955.9
Blue101
945220.1
656051.5
699543.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029580120140157101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#10
61.20.5
59.159.6
Auto11.7
Teleop50.7
End-1.8
red by 9.7
51.50.3
51.851.5
Auto11.7
Teleop38.6
End1.0
Second
55.90.5
53.854.3
Auto10.6
Teleop43.8
End1.7
red by 12.4
6995
#14
43.50.3
43.843.5
Auto9.8
Teleop31.5
End1.5
Third
9970
#30
18.90.6
16.517.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End-1.1
blue by 1.2
9452
#16
20.10.4
20.520.1
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End-1.3