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Red114
126634.0
374933.9
157227.6
Blue115
945220.1
656051.5
699543.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79103050150200114115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1266
#11
34.00.3
33.634.0
Auto5.4
Teleop26.5
End2.2
blue by 17.5
51.50.0
51.951.8
Auto11.7
Teleop38.6
End1.0
Second
3749
#19
33.90.3
33.633.9
Auto7.1
Teleop25.1
End1.5
blue by 9.6
6995
#14
43.50.0
43.943.8
Auto9.8
Teleop31.5
End1.5
Third
1572
#18
27.60.3
27.227.6
Auto5.8
Teleop20.1
End1.7
red by 7.5
9452
#16
20.10.0
20.520.5
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End-1.3