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Red111
997018.9
473861.2
441955.9
Blue161
153866.6
519969.4
927122.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94131050150200250111161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#10
61.20.8
59.959.1
Auto11.7
Teleop50.7
End-1.8
blue by 8.2
69.40.0
68.368.3
Auto8.9
Teleop61.7
End-1.8
Second
55.90.8
54.653.8
Auto10.6
Teleop43.8
End1.7
blue by 10.8
66.60.0
65.665.6
Auto11.5
Teleop56.4
End-1.6
Third
9970
#30
18.90.9
17.416.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End-1.1
blue by 4.0
9271
#20
22.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3