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Match 102023 Battle at the Border
Red99
364749.8
997818.1
325551.7
Blue113
157227.6
374933.9
126634.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087805015020099113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#5
51.70.5
52.2→51.7
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End2.4
red by 17.7
1266
#11
34.00.3
33.3→33.6
Auto5.4
Teleop26.5
End2.2
Second
3647
#4
49.80.5
50.3→49.8
Auto12.7
Teleop37.2
End-1.3
red by 15.9
3749
#19
33.90.3
33.3→33.6
Auto7.1
Teleop25.1
End1.5
Third
9978
#13
18.10.6
18.7→18.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End-0.6
blue by 9.4
1572
#18
27.60.3
26.9→27.2
Auto5.8
Teleop20.1
End1.7