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Red130
699543.5
656051.5
945220.1
Blue124
312835.4
162236.7
997121.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10566050150200130124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.50.2
51.651.9
Auto11.7
Teleop38.6
End1.0
red by 14.8
36.70.2
36.536.7
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End0.2
Second
6995
#14
43.50.2
43.643.9
Auto9.8
Teleop31.5
End1.5
red by 8.0
3128
#24
35.40.2
35.235.4
Auto7.5
Teleop26.4
End1.7
Third
9452
#16
20.10.3
20.220.5
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End-1.3
blue by 1.4
9971
#26
21.50.3
21.221.5
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End-1.3