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Red164
210231.1
519969.4
153866.6
Blue125
325551.7
997818.1
364749.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14310050200164125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.5
68.868.3
Auto8.9
Teleop61.7
End-1.8
red by 17.7
51.70.1
52.152.2
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End2.4
Second
66.60.5
66.165.6
Auto11.5
Teleop56.4
End-1.6
red by 16.9
49.80.1
50.250.3
Auto12.7
Teleop37.2
End-1.3
Third
2102
#17
31.10.5
31.531.1
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End1.3
red by 13.0
9978
#13
18.10.1
18.618.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End-0.6