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Red114
126634.0
374933.9
157227.6
Blue91
248537.4
513726.1
283940.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809205015011491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1266
#11
34.00.5
32.833.3
Auto5.4
Teleop26.5
End2.2
blue by 6.4
2839
#12
40.40.5
40.940.4
Auto8.7
Teleop28.9
End2.6
Second
3749
#19
33.90.5
32.833.3
Auto7.1
Teleop25.1
End1.5
blue by 3.5
2485
#25
37.40.5
37.937.4
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End2.5
Third
1572
#18
27.60.5
26.426.9
Auto5.8
Teleop20.1
End1.7
red by 1.5
26.10.5
26.726.1
Auto6.6
Teleop18.7
End0.9