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Match 62023 Battle at the Border
Red105
997330.1
254334.3
997415.1
Blue162
312835.4
162236.7
997121.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42740100150200250300105162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#9
34.30.6
33.6→34.3
Auto9.8
Teleop24.2
End0.1
blue by 2.5
1622
#8
36.70.6
35.8→36.5
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End0.2
Second
9973
#15
30.10.8
29.4→30.1
Auto4.2
Teleop27.6
End-1.4
blue by 5.3
3128
#24
35.40.6
34.6→35.2
Auto7.5
Teleop26.4
End1.7
Third
9974
#27
15.10.8
14.3→15.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.8
End-0.6
blue by 6.4
9971
#26
21.50.8
20.4→21.2
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End-1.3