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Red204
212250.3
312850.6
473867.5
Blue201
715768.2
407934.2
35972.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135134120140160180200204201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#12
67.50.9
66.167.0
Auto11.2
Teleop57.1
End-2.2
blue by 4.6
359
#6
72.20.7
70.271.0
Auto12.5
Teleop59.8
End-1.5
Second
3128
#19
50.60.9
49.250.1
Auto7.7
Teleop44.7
End-2.0
blue by 17.6
68.20.7
66.367.0
Auto11.6
Teleop56.9
End-1.6
Third
2122
#15
50.30.9
48.949.7
Auto7.8
Teleop38.2
End3.8
red by 16.0
4079
#29
34.20.7
32.333.1
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End1.3