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Red197
212250.3
312850.6
473867.5
Blue201
715768.2
407934.2
35972.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136135120130140150160170180190197201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#12
67.50.8
67.067.7
Auto11.2
Teleop57.1
End-2.2
blue by 4.6
359
#6
72.20.7
71.071.7
Auto12.5
Teleop59.8
End-1.5
Second
3128
#19
50.60.8
50.150.8
Auto7.7
Teleop44.7
End-2.0
blue by 17.6
68.20.7
67.067.7
Auto11.6
Teleop56.9
End-1.6
Third
2122
#15
50.30.8
49.750.5
Auto7.8
Teleop38.2
End3.8
red by 16.0
4079
#29
34.20.7
33.133.7
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End1.3