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Red155
212250.3
312850.6
473867.5
Blue199
715768.2
407934.2
35972.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137137120130150160170180190155199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#12
67.50.2
67.767.5
Auto11.2
Teleop57.1
End-2.2
blue by 4.6
359
#6
72.20.5
71.772.2
Auto12.5
Teleop59.8
End-1.5
Second
3128
#19
50.60.2
50.850.6
Auto7.7
Teleop44.7
End-2.0
blue by 17.6
68.20.5
67.768.2
Auto11.6
Teleop56.9
End-1.6
Third
2122
#15
50.30.2
50.550.3
Auto7.8
Teleop38.2
End3.8
red by 16.0
4079
#29
34.20.5
33.734.2
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End1.3