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Red127
699555.6
473867.5
607220.8
Blue157
347340.6
364751.8
715768.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93125050150200127157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#12
67.50.2
62.262.0
Auto11.2
Teleop57.1
End-2.2
blue by 0.7
68.21.0
63.664.6
Auto11.6
Teleop56.9
End-1.6
Second
55.60.2
43.843.5
Auto10.8
Teleop44.1
End0.2
red by 3.7
3647
#20
51.81.0
47.748.7
Auto13.9
Teleop39.0
End-1.5
Third
6072
#33
20.80.2
14.714.5
Auto5.0
Teleop16.5
End-0.2
blue by 19.8
3473
#13
40.61.0
33.534.5
Auto7.0
Teleop33.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned