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Red126
210233.9
312850.6
39938.6
Blue110
432242.4
420152.4
96838.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74118050100150200250126110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#19
50.61.8
39.040.8
Auto7.7
Teleop44.7
End-2.0
blue by 1.8
52.41.2
47.646.4
Auto7.9
Teleop44.0
End0.1
Second
399
#27
38.61.8
33.335.1
Auto10.4
Teleop26.1
End2.5
blue by 3.8
4322
#21
42.41.2
38.737.6
Auto7.3
Teleop34.9
End0.1
Third
2102
#23
33.91.8
26.428.3
Auto6.6
Teleop28.8
End-1.4
blue by 4.1
968
#34
38.11.2
41.340.2
Auto4.7
Teleop33.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned44%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned