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Red154
29462.6
427641.7
271042.9
Blue126
69655.8
704236.2
414128.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11273050100150200154126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#2
62.61.9
57.959.7
Auto11.0
Teleop49.4
End0.9
red by 6.8
696
#7
55.81.2
43.744.9
Auto9.2
Teleop50.0
End-3.3
Second
2710
#14
42.91.9
30.432.3
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End-0.4
red by 6.7
7042
#24
36.21.2
28.830.0
Auto7.1
Teleop29.4
End-0.4
Third
4276
#25
41.71.9
37.839.6
Auto7.8
Teleop34.6
End-0.3
red by 13.7
4141
#41
28.01.2
25.726.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned