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Red124
744728.5
940861.3
450129.9
Blue157
265819.4
347671.5
364751.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104104100110120130140124157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.3
52.853.1
Auto8.4
Teleop54.0
End-1.9
blue by 10.2
3476
#10
71.51.1
69.570.5
Auto12.5
Teleop58.2
End-1.3
Second
4501
#40
29.90.3
30.530.8
Auto8.0
Teleop18.4
End3.6
blue by 21.9
3647
#20
51.81.1
48.749.8
Auto13.9
Teleop39.0
End-1.5
Third
7447
#37
28.50.3
30.731.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End3.1
red by 9.0
2658
#30
19.41.1
12.613.7
Auto2.4
Teleop17.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsMissed63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned