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Red199
347671.5
98756.5
69655.8
Blue146
96838.1
347340.6
407934.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16171050100200250199146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#10
71.52.1
67.970.0
Auto12.5
Teleop58.2
End-1.3
red by 30.9
3473
#13
40.60.5
33.033.5
Auto7.0
Teleop33.3
End-0.0
Second
987
#17
56.52.1
60.862.9
Auto12.8
Teleop40.8
End1.9
red by 18.5
968
#34
38.10.5
40.841.3
Auto4.7
Teleop33.5
End0.2
Third
696
#7
55.82.1
42.544.6
Auto9.2
Teleop50.0
End-3.3
red by 21.5
4079
#29
34.20.5
24.124.7
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned