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Red100
364751.8
312850.6
116031.6
Blue148
395226.5
940861.3
441559.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121230200300400500600100148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#20
51.82.6
50.347.7
Auto13.9
Teleop39.0
End-1.5
blue by 9.4
61.31.3
50.051.3
Auto8.4
Teleop54.0
End-1.9
Second
3128
#19
50.62.6
41.639.0
Auto7.7
Teleop44.7
End-2.0
blue by 9.2
4415
#16
59.81.1
51.752.8
Auto13.2
Teleop45.3
End0.6
Third
1160
#32
31.62.6
36.834.3
Auto8.3
Teleop19.5
End3.8
red by 5.0
3952
#39
26.51.1
29.931.0
Auto8.3
Teleop17.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsEarned