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Red52
271042.9
656050.6
927121.0
Blue176
35972.2
715768.2
744728.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8115705010020025030052176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#26
50.63.6
51.547.9
Auto10.1
Teleop41.0
End-1.2
blue by 21.6
359
#6
72.20.2
67.667.8
Auto12.5
Teleop59.8
End-1.5
Second
2710
#14
42.93.6
31.928.2
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End-0.4
blue by 25.3
68.20.2
63.563.6
Auto11.6
Teleop56.9
End-1.6
Third
9271
#38
21.03.6
22.919.3
Auto2.4
Teleop18.8
End0.3
blue by 7.5
7447
#37
28.50.2
33.733.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned