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Red136
364751.8
622021.6
210233.9
Blue141
212250.3
744728.5
69655.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75110050150200250136141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#20
51.82.0
49.851.8
Auto13.9
Teleop39.0
End-1.5
blue by 3.9
696
#7
55.81.5
44.946.4
Auto9.2
Teleop50.0
End-3.3
Second
2102
#23
33.92.0
30.332.3
Auto6.6
Teleop28.8
End-1.4
blue by 16.3
2122
#15
50.31.5
42.243.7
Auto7.8
Teleop38.2
End3.8
Third
6220
#31
21.62.0
21.623.6
Auto3.4
Teleop17.4
End0.9
blue by 6.8
7447
#37
28.51.5
31.132.6
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned50%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned