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Red114
183626.7
519972.2
395226.5
Blue94
330917.8
271042.9
450129.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13059010015020011494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.21.4
73.872.4
Auto10.1
Teleop62.6
End-1.7
red by 29.3
2710
#14
42.90.9
32.333.1
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End-0.4
Second
1836
#35
26.71.4
31.630.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End3.3
blue by 3.2
4501
#40
29.90.9
30.831.7
Auto8.0
Teleop18.4
End3.6
Third
3952
#39
26.51.4
29.127.7
Auto8.3
Teleop17.3
End1.3
red by 8.7
3309
#42
17.80.9
12.513.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsMissed