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Red112
116031.6
395226.5
699555.6
Blue136
325554.3
656050.6
212250.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90141050200112136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.6
47.147.7
Auto10.8
Teleop44.1
End0.2
red by 1.3
3255
#11
54.31.1
57.956.7
Auto10.3
Teleop44.0
End-0.3
Second
1160
#32
31.60.6
27.728.3
Auto8.3
Teleop19.5
End3.8
blue by 19.0
6560
#26
50.61.1
48.447.3
Auto10.1
Teleop41.0
End-1.2
Third
3952
#39
26.50.6
27.728.3
Auto8.3
Teleop17.3
End1.3
blue by 23.7
2122
#15
50.31.1
43.742.6
Auto7.8
Teleop38.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed87%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned