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Red125
940861.3
330917.8
59743.4
Blue163
347340.6
271042.9
420152.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901030200300400500125163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.8
54.255.0
Auto8.4
Teleop54.0
End-1.9
red by 8.9
52.42.6
50.152.7
Auto7.9
Teleop44.0
End0.1
Second
597
#18
43.40.8
45.546.3
Auto7.2
Teleop36.7
End-0.4
red by 0.5
2710
#14
42.92.6
33.135.8
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End-0.4
Third
3309
#42
17.80.8
13.414.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End0.7
blue by 22.8
3473
#13
40.62.6
35.538.1
Auto7.0
Teleop33.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsEarned