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Red192
473867.5
364751.8
432242.4
Blue146
347671.5
414128.0
519972.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123141406080100160180200192146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#12
67.52.5
61.864.3
Auto11.2
Teleop57.1
End-2.2
blue by 4.7
72.21.4
72.471.0
Auto10.1
Teleop62.6
End-1.7
Second
3647
#20
51.82.5
51.854.3
Auto13.9
Teleop39.0
End-1.5
blue by 19.6
3476
#10
71.51.4
70.268.8
Auto12.5
Teleop58.2
End-1.3
Third
4322
#21
42.42.5
39.341.8
Auto7.3
Teleop34.9
End0.1
red by 14.4
4141
#41
28.01.4
26.124.7
Auto6.0
Teleop19.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
68%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned