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Red109
96838.1
98756.5
607220.8
Blue152
441943.8
744728.5
312850.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95107050150200109152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#17
56.50.3
63.262.9
Auto12.8
Teleop40.8
End1.9
red by 5.9
3128
#19
50.61.1
41.542.6
Auto7.7
Teleop44.7
End-2.0
Second
968
#34
38.10.3
35.635.3
Auto4.7
Teleop33.5
End0.2
blue by 5.7
4419
#28
43.81.1
51.852.9
Auto8.3
Teleop35.0
End-0.1
Third
6072
#33
20.80.3
15.314.9
Auto5.0
Teleop16.5
End-0.2
blue by 7.7
7447
#37
28.51.1
32.633.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned