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Red130
29462.6
69655.8
407934.2
Blue186
656050.6
940861.3
699555.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99119050150200130186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#2
62.60.2
59.259.0
Auto11.0
Teleop49.4
End0.9
red by 1.3
61.32.6
55.057.7
Auto8.4
Teleop54.0
End-1.9
Second
696
#7
55.80.2
47.447.2
Auto9.2
Teleop50.0
End-3.3
red by 0.2
55.62.6
47.750.4
Auto10.8
Teleop44.1
End0.2
Third
4079
#29
34.20.2
26.426.2
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End1.3
blue by 16.3
6560
#26
50.62.6
47.349.9
Auto10.1
Teleop41.0
End-1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned