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Red156
212250.3
420152.4
59743.4
Blue118
888829.1
347671.5
927121.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1319650150200156118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.6
52.753.3
Auto7.9
Teleop44.0
End0.1
blue by 19.1
3476
#10
71.50.6
68.868.2
Auto12.5
Teleop58.2
End-1.3
Second
2122
#15
50.30.6
42.643.2
Auto7.8
Teleop38.2
End3.8
red by 21.1
8888
#36
29.10.6
32.532.0
Auto7.2
Teleop18.0
End4.0
Third
597
#18
43.40.6
46.346.9
Auto7.2
Teleop36.7
End-0.4
red by 22.4
9271
#38
21.00.6
20.419.8
Auto2.4
Teleop18.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned53%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed