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Red138
265819.4
519972.2
607220.8
Blue129
325554.3
704236.2
116031.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63110050150200250138129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.22.5
71.073.6
Auto10.1
Teleop62.6
End-1.7
red by 17.9
3255
#11
54.30.7
56.757.5
Auto10.3
Teleop44.0
End-0.3
Second
6072
#33
20.82.5
14.917.5
Auto5.0
Teleop16.5
End-0.2
blue by 15.4
7042
#24
36.20.7
33.434.1
Auto7.1
Teleop29.4
End-0.4
Third
2658
#30
19.42.5
13.816.3
Auto2.4
Teleop17.4
End-0.3
blue by 12.2
1160
#32
31.60.7
28.329.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsEarned30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned